Alexander Zverev vs Jordan Thompson Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

In analyzing the upcoming tennis match between Alexander Zverev and Jordan Thompson, various statistical comparisons yield crucial insights into who may emerge victorious. Second serve proficiency, when examined over the last six months, reveals Zverev acquiring 45.38% of points, while Thompson marginally surpasses with 47.13%. This statistic, known for its high correlation with match predictions, indicates a minor edge for Thompson.

Turning to return game performance, recent form data shows Zverev has succeeded in winning 43.55% of opponent second serve points, with Thompson slightly behind at 43.08%. The first serve returns demonstrate Zverev capturing 23.06% compared to Thompson's 22.67%, offering a slight tilt toward Zverev when evaluating their head-to-head match potential.

When placed under pressure, Zverev appears to have the upper hand, having saved 61.29% of breakpoints compared to Thompson's 53.47%. This measure is particularly insightful for predicting outcomes during critical match moments. Regarding their overall performance, Zverev has an impressive winning percentage of 76.14% over the previous year (67/21 W/L), while Thompson holds a 58.7% win rate (27/19 W/L).

Analyzing career surface preferences, Zverev shows a higher win percentage on Clay at 70%, his lowest being on Grass at 66%. Thompson, conversely, exhibits his best career surface results on Indoor Hard courts with a 65% win percentage, and records his least favorable on Clay, winning just 57%. The level of events played also provides context, with Zverev primarily competing in the Masters series, boasting a 78.13% win rate (25/7 W/L), while Thompson's Main tour participation yields a 63.64% win rate (14/8 W/L).

Their head-to-head history consists of three prior encounters, leading to Zverev's favor with two wins to Thompson's one. Out of eight sets, Zverev has captured five. The previous meeting ended with Zverev's dominant 6-1, 6-1 victory at the National Bank Open. Additionally, they have each won a deciding set against one another once. In tiebreak scenarios, both players have one victory each.

Looking at the quality of opposition, Zverev's average opponent rank stands at 58.19, implying a generally higher level of competition faced compared to Thompson's 73.76. In terms of deciding set capabilities against all opponents over the recent year, Zverev records a 52% win rate, trailing Thompson's superior 67% win rate.

Examining breakpoint conversion, Thompson again has a slight edge, converting 30.88% of opportunities versus Zverev's 28.06%. This kind of statistic is pivotal for live match predictions, especially when either player faces breakpoint scenarios.

Overall, considering Zverev's superior match record, pressure resilience, and head-to-head dominance, as well as slightly higher return rates, the stats suggest that Alexander Zverev is the predicted favorite to win their upcoming match.